IBOPE Zogby Poll: Gingrich Takes Lead In GOP Field, Romney Drops To Third – Zogby International
Newt Gingrich has soared into the lead of the Republican field for President among primary voters with 32%, followed by Herman Cain at 26% and Mitt Romney at 14%. In theoretical match-ups with Barack Obama among all voters, both Romney and Gingrich are statistically tied with the President.
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The IBOPE Zogby interactive poll conducted from Nov. 15-17 also finds Obamas approval rating holding steady 44%, as is the percentage saying he deserves re-election (40%).
The poll also asked whom Republicans primary voters would choose if the only candidates were Romney and either Gingrich, Cain, Rick Perry or Ron Paul. Both Gingrich and Cain easily defeat Romney, who defeats Perry and Paul.
Republican Candidates (asked only of the partys primary voters)
If the Republican primary for President were held today, for whom would you vote?
32% Gingrich
26% Cain
14% Romney
8% Paul
6% Perry
3% Huntsman
3% Santorum
2% Bachmann
1% Johnson
1% Other
7% Not Sure
Totals May Not Add Up Due To Rounding
If the Republican primary in your state were held today, and the only candidates were Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, for whom would you vote?
66% Gingrich
24% Romney
6% I Would Not Vote
4% Not Sure
If the Republican primary in your state were held today, and the only candidates were Mitt Romney and Herman Cain, for whom would you vote?
59% Cain
32% Romney
5% I Would Not Vote
4% Not Sure
If the Republican primary in your state were held today, and the only candidates were Mitt Romney and Rick Perry for whom would you vote?
44% Romney
39% Perry
5% I Would Not Vote
4% Not Sure
If the Republican primary in your state were held today, and the only candidates were Mitt Romney and Ron Paul, for whom would you vote?
61% Romney
26% Paul
5% I Would Not Vote
8% Not Sure
The poll also asked Republican primary voters which candidates they would never vote for and who they thought would be the eventual nominee. Paul had the highest total that would never vote for him at 45%, while Gingrich (14%) and Cain (16%) had the lowest. Romney was in the middle at 28%. Romney is seen as the most likely nominee with 52%, followed by Gingrich at 20%. No one else drew more than 10%.
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obamas job as president?
55% Disapprove
44% Approve
1% Not Sure
Do you think President Obama deserves to be re-elected or do you think it is time for someone new?
53% Time For Someone New
40% Obama Deserves To Be Re-elected
7% Not Sure
If Mitt Romney is the Republican nominee for President against Barack Obama, for whom would you vote?
44% Romney
42% Obama
6% Someone Else
2% I Would Not Vote
6% Not Sure
If Newt Gingrich is the Republican nominee for President against Barack Obama, for whom would you vote?
47%Obama
46% Gingrich
5% Someone Else
1% I Would Not Vote
2% Not Sure
Totals May Not Add Up Due To Rounding
If Herman Cain is the Republican nominee for President against Barack Obama, for whom would you vote?
47% Obama
44% Cain
6% Someone Else
1% I Would Not Vote
2% Not Sure
If Rick Perry is the Republican nominee for President against Barack Obama, for whom would you vote?
48% Obama
41% Perry
8% Someone Else
2% I Would Not Vote
2% Not Sure
Totals May Not Add Up Due To Rounding
If Ron Paul is the Republican nominee for President against Barack Obama, for whom would you vote?
45% Obama
38% Paul
9% Someone Else
3% I Would Not Vote
6% Not Sure
Other poll findings include:
* 70% say the nation is on the wrong track and 18% say right track.
* Job approval for Congress is 12%, while approval for each party in Congress is 27% for Democrats and 26% for Republicans.
We also asked all voters about the media coverage of sexual harassment charges against Cain, and 45% say the media had been fair while41% say unfair.
IBOPE Zogby International conducted an online survey of 2,064 likely voters. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. A sampling of IBOPE Zogby International’s online panel, which is representative of the adult population of the U.S., was invited to participate. Slight weights were added to region, party, age, race, religion, gender and education to more accurately reflect the population. IBOPE Zogby International also conducted an online survey of 1,366 likely Republican primary voters. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.
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