CBS/NYT Poll Oversampled Democrats By 13% Even Though Republicans Outnumber Them By Over 4%

CBS/NYT Poll Oversampled Dems By 13% – Sweetness & Light

From CBS News:

Poll: Obama has foreign policy advantage

By Sarah Dutton, Jennifer De Pinto, Anthony Salvanto, Fred Backus, Stephanie Condon | Fri September 14, 2012

(CBS News) – In a CBS News/ New York Times poll conducted as the current Middle East turmoil erupted, President Obama has the advantage over Mitt Romney when it comes to who voters trust to handle an international crisis.

65 percent of likely voters are at least somewhat confident in Mr. Obama’s ability to handle an international crisis, including four in 10 who have a lot of confidence. By comparison, 58 percent have confidence in Romney’s ability to do so, including just one in four with a lot of confidence.

Which is a 7 point difference. But it turns out that this poll oversampled likely voters by 6%. (Rep/Dem/Ind = 29%/35%/36%.)

The poll was conducted Sept. 8-12, and most of the interviews were done in the days just before violent protests against the U.S. broke out in the Middle East.

On Sept. 11, protesters angered by an obscure Internet movie belittling Islam attacked U.S. diplomatic offices in Egypt and Libya. Early the next morning, the U.S. learned that U.S. Ambassador to Libya Chris Stevens and three other Americans were killed. By Friday, Muslims around the world were protesting for the fourth straight day.

When asked separately who would do a better job handling foreign policy, 49 percent chose Mr. Obama and 39 percent chose Romney…

But we are not told whether these were likely voters or just registered voters. For registered voters the poll oversampled Democrats by a whopping 13%! (Rep/Dem/Ind = 22%/35%/33%.) Apparently, they didn’t want to take any chances.

Meanwhile, the latest , released on August 31, found that people identify themselves 37.6% Republican, 33.3% Democrat and 29.2% Independent. In fact, that same Rasmussen poll found the number of Republicans in the US has never been higher.

So why aren’t the polls oversampling the GOP by 4%?

Anyway, something tells me we aren’t going to be many polls about Obama’s handling of foreign policy any time in the immediate future.

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One thought on “CBS/NYT Poll Oversampled Democrats By 13% Even Though Republicans Outnumber Them By Over 4%

  1. Pingback: Gallup threatened by Axelrod with DOJ investigation - INGunOwners

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