Census Bureau Supervisor Blows Whistle On Economic Data Falsification; Is Ignored By Higher-Ups

Denver Census Staffer Brings Data Falsification To Light – New York Post

A field supervisor in the Census Bureau’s Denver region has informed her organization’s higher-ups, the head of the Commerce Department and congressional investigators that she believes economic data collected by her office is being falsified.

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And this whistleblower – who asked that I not identify her – said her bosses in Denver ignored her warnings even after she provided details of wrongdoing by three different survey takers.

The three continued to collect data even after she reported them.

When I spoke with this whistleblower earlier this year as part of my investigation of Census, she told me that hundreds of interviews that go into the Labor Department’s unemployment rate and inflation surveys would miraculously be completed just hours before deadline.

The implication was that someone with the ability to fill in the blanks on incomplete surveys was doing just that.

The Denver whistleblower also provided to the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform the names of other Census workers who can spill the beans about data fraud in other regions.

Census is broken up into six regions. Cheating has already been proven in the Philadelphia region. And with this whistleblower’s letter, Census authorities now have allegations that the same kind of nonsense was going on in Denver – that office covers Arizona, Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota, Oklahoma, Texas, Utah and Wyoming

The Oversight Committee recently completed a report along with the Joint Economic Committee of Congress that verified one case of falsification in the Philly office. But the committee said it couldn’t prove or disprove that there was a nationwide pattern of data fraud because Commerce – which oversees Census – had “obstructed” its investigation.

“There are serious issues within the Census Bureau Denver regional office management and I feel it’s time that you are made aware of them,” the whistleblower wrote on Sept. 30 to Penny Pritzker, the head of Commerce, and Wayne Hatcher, associate director of Census Field operations.

That same information, along with about a thousand e-mails and other documents, was also sent to the Oversight Committee.

The case of falsified data in Philly – by a surveyor named Julius Buckmon – resulted in a lengthy investigation by Commerce’s Inspector General as well as the probe by the Oversight Committee and the Joint Economic Committee.

The IG’s investigation resulted in widespread changes in the way data is collected and checked. One of the key changes is that supervisors can no longer conduct what are called “re-interviews” of their own workers’ surveys.

By conducting a re-interview, Census can often spot a fraudulent survey. The problem is that the supervisors conducting the re-interview weren’t motivated to report fraud because it reduced the number of completed responses they could report toward their quota.

I asked recently the Denver whistleblower her opinion on the surveys Census is providing. “When the question is asked about data quality, my answer would be simple, there is none,” she said.

“I wouldn’t trust any data from the Census Bureau,” she added.

Last Friday, for instance, Labor announced that a healthy 248,000 new jobs were created in September, when the unemployment rate dipped to 5.9 percent from 6.1 percent.

Those 248,000 new jobs are determined by a survey of companies – the Establishment Survey, it’s called – that is conducted by Labor itself. So while some people rightly take issue with the quality and temporary nature of many of those new jobs – and the fact that not enough have been created in the current economic cycle – the tabulation itself isn’t really in doubt.

The 5.9 percent unemployment rate comes from the Household Survey that Labor hires Census to conduct. There are big concerns about the truthfulness of the jobless rate, especially since this is the last report before the November congressional elections.

For instance, in September the rate fell to 5.9 percent mainly because 315,000 more people told Census they stopped looking for a job.

In fact, about a third of the recent decline in the unemployment rate can be attributed to a decline in the so-called Labor Participation Rate, which is now at a 36-year low. Ninety-six million Americans no longer consider themselves in the labor force.

Some think there is a logical explanation for this: baby boomers who are leaving the workforce because they simply don’t want to work anymore. But the data doesn’t bear that out.

There were 230,000 more workers aged 50 or older in the Household Survey released Friday. So how did the workforce decline by 315,000 people, if aging baby boomers were increasingly looking for jobs?

It’s either a miracle or someone’s pulling our leg.

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Thanks Barack… Record 92.6 Million Americans No Longer In Labor Force

Labor Participation Rate Drops To 36 Year Low; Record 92.6 Million Americans Not In Labor Force – Zero Hedge

While by now everyone should know the answer, for those curious why the US unemployment rate just slid once more to a meager 5.9%, the lowest print since the summer of 2008, the answer is the same one we have shown every month since 2010: the collapse in the labor force participation rate, which in September slid from an already three decade low 62.8% to 62.7% – the lowest in over 36 years, matching the February 1978 lows. And while according to the Household Survey, 232,000 people found jobs, what is more disturbing is that the people not in the labor force, rose to a new record high, increasing by 315,000 to 92.6 million!

And that’s how you get a fresh cycle low in the unemployment rate.

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So the next time Obama asks you if you are “better off now than 6 years ago” show him this chart of employment to the overall population: it speaks louder than the president ever could.

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The Daley Gator Videos Site: 129 Vids And Counting (Videos)



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…..Just a little taste of what you’ll find at the Daley Gator Videos site:

PAT CONDELL: LAUGHING AT THE NEW INQUISITION

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MONTY PYTHON’S FLYING CIRCUS: MINISTRY OF SILLY WALKS SKETCH

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DR. PAUL VITZ: THE PSYCHOLOGY OF ATHEISM (PART 1)

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Your Daley Gator Prager University Crash Course In… Life


FEMINISM VS. TRUTH

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WHAT CREATES WEALTH?

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THE GOVERNMENT VS. THE AMERICAN CHARACTER

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IS THE UN FAIR TO ISRAEL?

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TEACHERS UNIONS VS. STUDENTS

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WAS IT WRONG TO DROP THE ATOM BOMB ON JAPAN?

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GOD VS. ATHEISM: WHICH IS MORE RATIONAL?

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ARE PEOPLE BORN GOOD?

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WHY AMERICA’S MILITARY MUST BE STRONG

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Noted economic moron to teach class on job creation?

It might make no sense to you that a person who was AWFUL at creating jobs, as Michigan governor, would be asked to teach students HOW to create jobs, until you hear that she is being asked by Berkeley, where sanity is not allowed

The course will be called “There’s One Born Every Minute 101.”

Bonus points: It’s a class on creating “clean energy” jobs:

Granholm, who has taught various classes at Berkeley since 2011, will lead a special topic seminar this semester titled “creating jobs through better government policies for innovation and education.”

The class will focus on strategies for creating clean energy jobs, which Granholm claimed some success with in Michigan. Fox News and various conservative websites have been quick to point out the state’s unemployment rate was in the double digits when she left office.

Will this background be on Granholm’s course syllabus?

Michigan lost more than half a million jobs (576,900) during Gov. Jennifer Granholm’s 8-year tenure. The month before Granholm took office, Michigan had 4,468,700 jobs in December of 2002. When she left office in December of 2010, Michigan 3,891,800 jobs. Michigan led the nation in unemployment for 45 consecutive months from May 2006 to January 2010.

Ah Liberalism, where results do not matter

CBO “Revises” Its 2014 GDP Forecast, Hilarity Ensues (As Always) – Tyler Durden

CBO “Revises” Its 2014 GDP Forecast, Hilarity Ensues (As Always) – Tyler Durden

The gross, in fact epic, incompetence of the Congressional Budget Office when it comes to doing its only job, forecasting the future state of the US economy, has previously been extensively documented here (and here and here and here). This incompetence is in the spotlight once again this morning with the CBO’s release of its latest forecast revision of its original February 2014 projection.

And while every aspect of the revised projection has changed, in an adverse direction of course, the punchline is the chart below: the CBO’s revised projection for 2014 GDP. It’s one of those “no comment necessary” visuals.

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Surprising? Hardly. After all the CBO is swarming with indoctrinated Keynesian cultists whose only achievement in life is to be wrong about everything (and then to blame the Fed for not “easing enough”). Here is how the CBO “explains” this 50%+ cut in its forecast in just 6 months:

CBO has lowered its projection of real growth of GDP in 2014 from 3.1 percent to 1.5 percent, reflecting the surprising economic weakness in the first half of the year.

Which as other Keynesian talking heads have already made quite clear was due to snow. That’s right: over $100 billion in forecast economic growth “evaporated” from the US economy because it… snowed.

The good news? The CBO refuses to forecast the “harsh weather” for the foreseeable future, and has kept all of its 2015 and onward GDP estimates as is. So when things go horribly wrong to the CBO’s forecast, which is 100% guaranteed to happen, the CBO can again blame “surprising economic weakness” because, well, everyone else is doing it.

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Those who wish to waste their time can find the source here.

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